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#1 The truth about 'class war' in America

Posted: Wed Sep 21, 2011 12:38 am
by frigidmagi
guardian
Republicans and conservatives always fight back against proposals to raise taxes on corporations and rich individuals by making two basic claims. First, such proposals amount to un-American "class warfare", pitting the working class against corporations and the rich. Second, such proposals would take money for the government that would otherwise have been invested in production and thus created jobs.

Neither logic nor evidence supports either claim. The charge of class war is particularly obtuse. Consider simply these two facts. First, at the end of the second world war, for every dollar Washington raised in taxes on individuals, it raised $1.50 in taxes on business profits. Today, that ratio is very different: for every dollar Washington gets in taxes on individuals, it takes 25 cents in taxes on business. In short, the last half century has seen a massive shift of the burden of federal taxation off business and onto individuals.

Second, across those 50 years, the actual shift that occurred was the opposite of the much more modest reversal proposed this week by President Obama; over the same period, the federal income tax rate on the richest individuals fell from 91% to the current 35%. Yet, Republicans and conservatives use the term "class war" for what Obama proposes – and never for what the last five decades have accomplished in shifting the tax burden from the rich and corporations to the working class.

The tax structure imposed by Washington on the US over the last half-century has seen a massive double shift of the burden of taxation: from corporations to individuals and from the richest individuals to everyone else. If the national debate wants seriously to use a term like "class war" to describe Washington's tax policies, then the reality is that the class war's winners have been corporations and the rich. Its losers – the rest of us – now want to reduce our losses modestly by small increases in taxes on the super-rich (but not, or not yet, on corporations).

To refer to this effort as if it had suddenly introduced class war into US politics is either dishonest or based on ignorance of what federal tax policies have actually been. Or perhaps, for conservatives, it is a convenient mixture of both.

Much the same sort of analysis applies to the Republican claims that taxing corporations and rich people takes money that would otherwise be invested in business growth and thus create jobs. Last Friday, the US Federal Reserve reported a record quantity of cash on the books of US businesses (over $2tn). Even with the currently low taxes on businesses and the rich, that money is not being invested and is not creating jobs. It is not being distributed to anyone else and so is not being spent on consumer goods either. Taxing a portion of that money to finance Washington's stimulation of the economy by spending that money – or even better, by using it to hire and pay the unemployed – would be a much more effective way to provide jobs than leaving it as cash hoards in corporations' coffers.

Last month, Warren Buffett upset many of his "mega-rich friends" by what he stated categorically in a New York Times op-ed. He made it clear that he had never encountered any serious investor who decided whether or not to invest based on tax rates. It was always the prospects of profit that made the difference. He then urged Americans to raise taxes on the rich like himself. He also hinted – none too subtly – that it was becoming politically dangerous for the whole economic system's survival to keep having the minority of extremely rich people paying federal tax at lower rates than the middle- and low-income majority.

The final irony of loose talk about class war is this: the Republican and conservative voices opposing all tax increases for corporations and the rich thereby provoke, as Buffett intimated and New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg more explicitly warned last week, a renewal of class consciousness in the US. Then, Washington might learn what class war really is.
discuss

#2

Posted: Wed Sep 21, 2011 8:06 am
by The Minx
I think that the corporations and banks are hoarding money since the collapse four years ago happened because they ran out of cash. So they're scared of spending it all, and are just leaving it lying around just in case. And we may be seeing another crisis brewing, so that's not strange.

I also think that if businesses are taxed more, they'll just hire less and increase consumer prices. That they've got a lot of spare cash won't change that. But we need the money to balance the budget, or the national debt keeps growing, so we still need to increase taxes.

#3

Posted: Wed Sep 21, 2011 12:50 pm
by Derek Thunder
The Minx wrote:I also think that if businesses are taxed more, they'll just hire less and increase consumer prices.
Que? I thought that taxes were assessed on profits and that payroll falls under expenses.
I think that the corporations and banks are hoarding money since the collapse four years ago happened because they ran out of cash.
You may have to elaborate on this. My understanding was that the prime mover of the recession was the speculative bubble in real estate and its subsequent bursting.

I would agree that fear is probably the main reason why businesses are holding on to money though. I think one could be forgiven in concluding that consumer demand isn't high enough to justify expanding, but this all just puts us in a situation where everyone is afraid to spend and things get worse because of that.

E: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2011/03/ ... ard-grows/

It doesn't really appear that there was a sharp decline in cash holdings before the recession, so again I'm not sure I agree with what you're saying.

#4

Posted: Wed Sep 21, 2011 3:57 pm
by The Minx
Derek Thunder wrote:Que? I thought that taxes were assessed on profits and that payroll falls under expenses.
They are, but why should that prevent them from hiring less and raising prices? We still need to tax them, of course.

You may have to elaborate on this. My understanding was that the prime mover of the recession was the speculative bubble in real estate and its subsequent bursting.
That's what started it, but when people were no longer able to pay back their sub-prime loans, the sub-prime lenders were faced with a liquidity crisis which led their being unable to pay back to the prime lenders, hence the banks ran out of spare cash.

#5

Posted: Wed Sep 21, 2011 4:55 pm
by Cynical Cat
The Minx wrote: They are, but why should that prevent them from hiring less and raising prices?
Same thing that prevents them from hiring less and raising prices without taxes being raised. They still need workers to do actual work and they still have to perform competitively in the market place.

#6

Posted: Wed Sep 21, 2011 5:51 pm
by The Minx
Yea, but conditions are not the same in that case. For every dollar that a company has to pay to the IRS, they will take some cents from their investors i.e. from profits, some cents from their workers and some cents from their consumers.

#7

Posted: Wed Sep 21, 2011 6:00 pm
by Cynical Cat
The Minx wrote:Yea, but conditions are not the same in that case. For every dollar that a company has to pay to the IRS, they will take some cents from their investors i.e. from profits, some cents from their workers and some cents from their consumers.
In both cases taxes are being paid on profits. Companies won't magically jack prices if taxes go up, unless the tax affects the production cost of the goods in question. Even when costs on a product go up, they will sometimes eat the cost increase in order to remain competitive. That depends on the product and the market, of course.

#8

Posted: Wed Sep 21, 2011 6:11 pm
by The Minx
Basic supply and demand says otherwise. :???:

#9

Posted: Wed Sep 21, 2011 8:24 pm
by Cynical Cat
The Minx wrote:Basic supply and demand says otherwise. :???:
Yes, they do. Supply and demand applies to all the companies in that business, not just yours. Competition and what your customers are willing to pay matter. The grocery store I work at ate two price increases on avocados before increasing the price at the third increase. The customer still has to decide to buy that avocado or that washing machine or that Mercedes at that price, forgo the item, or look for an equivalent someplace else. The costs to make an item may have gone up 10%, but sometimes its worthwhile to eat that cost and no lose the sales.

On the other hand, Games Workshop has significantly cut the costs of producing its miniatures while jacking the price. They can get away with that as long as people still buy Warhammer 40K figurines from them. Until they hit the threshold where people say "this is too much to pay to play a miniatures game even one I really like" they'll get away with it.

#10

Posted: Thu Sep 22, 2011 4:00 am
by Stofsk
Cat gets points for referencing GW in a thread about economics, class warfare and the law of supply and demand

#11

Posted: Thu Sep 22, 2011 6:38 am
by The Minx
Cynical Cat wrote:
The Minx wrote:Basic supply and demand says otherwise. :???:
Yes, they do. Supply and demand applies to all the companies in that business, not just yours. Competition and what your customers are willing to pay matter. The grocery store I work at ate two price increases on avocados before increasing the price at the third increase. The customer still has to decide to buy that avocado or that washing machine or that Mercedes at that price, forgo the item, or look for an equivalent someplace else. The costs to make an item may have gone up 10%, but sometimes its worthwhile to eat that cost and no lose the sales.
Just because your store is going to eat the costs a couple of times doesn't mean that everyone does it at the same time. :smile: Any time taxes go up, a lot of stores will be faced with a choice like that third time when you did in fact raise prices.

Cynical Cat wrote:On the other hand, Games Workshop has significantly cut the costs of producing its miniatures while jacking the price. They can get away with that as long as people still buy Warhammer 40K figurines from them. Until they hit the threshold where people say "this is too much to pay to play a miniatures game even one I really like" they'll get away with it.
Yea, but they have a monopoly on a franchise which is currently very popular. That's a bit different from groceries, so they have more flexibility with that kind of thing. But the fact that they're willing to jack up prices like that means they might do so again if they're taxed more, and the fans would still buy their stuff.

Stofsk wrote:Cat gets points for referencing GW in a thread about economics, class warfare and the law of supply and demand
Yes, I'll have to give him that. :lol:

#12

Posted: Thu Sep 22, 2011 11:17 am
by Cynical Cat
The Minx wrote:: Any time taxes go up, a lot of stores will be faced with a choice like that third time when you did in fact raise prices.:
No, they won't. Most taxes are on profits, not costs. If we increase the tax rate on the wealthy, which is what is being discussed, there is no cost increase to eat (which, as I pointed out, doesn't immediately lead to increased prices). The businesses are already trying to maximize profits. If jacking up prices is going to increase profits, that is what they'll do regardless of whether or not their profits are going to be taxed at a slightly higher rate.

An increase in other kinds of taxes (or the creation of new taxes) could affect operating costs (such as increased payroll tax) and prices, but that's not what's under discussion.

#13

Posted: Thu Sep 22, 2011 12:03 pm
by The Minx
Cynical Cat wrote:Most taxes are on profits, not costs.
They're still faced with the choice of taking the hit to their profit or raising prices to offset some of their losses. Some will still choose the latter.
Cynical Cat wrote:If we increase the tax rate on the wealthy, which is what is being discussed, there is no cost increase to eat (which, as I pointed out, doesn't immediately lead to increased prices). The businesses are already trying to maximize profits.
Um, the OP speaks of taxes on corporations and the wealthy, not just on the wealthy. :???:
Cynical Cat wrote:If jacking up prices is going to increase profits, that is what they'll do regardless of whether or not their profits are going to be taxed at a slightly higher rate.
Conditions are not the same then. The consumer always bears some part of the increase in taxes on companies.

#14

Posted: Thu Sep 22, 2011 3:01 pm
by Cynical Cat
The Minx wrote:
They're still faced with the choice of taking the hit to their profit or raising prices to offset some of their losses. Some will still choose the latter.
If increasing they thought increasing their prices would mean increasing their profits, they're going to do it anyway.



Um, the OP speaks of taxes on corporations and the wealthy, not just on the wealthy. :???:
Still talking primarily about taxes on profits.
Cynical Cat wrote:If jacking up prices is going to increase profits, that is what they'll do regardless of whether or not their profits are going to be taxed at a slightly higher rate.
Conditions are not the same then. The consumer always bears some part of the increase in taxes on companies.
As previously explained, no they don't. Let me give you a specific example. Guess where Big Pharma pays higher taxes, Canada or the US? The answer would be Canada. Guess who pays more for drugs, Canadians or Americans? The answer is Americans.

Lots of factors influence pricing and it is already set at the level where a company thinks they will generate maximum revenue. That they get to keep less of that revenue tomorrow won't change the price because the price is already at the optimum level to generate profits. If their costs go up then they'll consider upping the price, but that's neither guarranteed nor necessarily the case with a tax increase. They will, as I've shown, eat the cost increase if they think that will be the best choice to generate revenue or jack the price if they think they can make more money that way, regardless of whether costs go up or down.

#15

Posted: Thu Sep 22, 2011 3:07 pm
by The Minx
If increasing they thought increasing their prices would mean increasing their profits, they're going to do it anyway.
Except it would not do so anyway, if the tax is not present. The conditions are not the same with and without the tax.

As previously explained, no they don't. Let me give you a specific example. Guess where Big Pharma pays higher taxes, Canada or the US? The answer would be Canada. Guess who pays more for drugs, Canadians or Americans? The answer is Americans.

Lots of factors influence pricing and it is already set at the level where a company thinks they will generate maximum revenue. That they get to keep less of that revenue tomorrow won't change the price because the price is already at the optimum level to generate profits. If their costs go up then they'll consider upping the price, but that's neither guarranteed nor necessarily the case with a tax increase. They will, as I've shown, eat the cost increase if they think that will be the best choice to generate revenue or jack the price if they think they can make more money that way, regardless of whether costs go up or down.
You can't really compare the two counties, since as you say, there are many factors which affect price. But any tax is going to shift the supply curve to the left, which means higher prices and lower sales. It's really not more complicated than that.

Canadians pay less for brand name drugs, but they pay more for generics. (evidence)

#16

Posted: Thu Sep 22, 2011 3:19 pm
by Cynical Cat
The Minx wrote:
Except it would not do so anyway, if the tax is not present. The conditions are not the same with and without the tax.
The conditions for the consumer haven't changed and increasing the price above the previous level puts the business at a competitive disadvantage during a recession. It's not like they magically decided they all of a sudden want more money, they always want more money.

You can't really compare the two counties, since as you say, there are many factors which affect price. But any tax is going to shift the supply curve to the left, which means higher prices and lower sales.
I can, because your argument is that prices will increase during a brutal recession because taxes on profits have gone up. That's far from a certainty. As for Big Pharma, for example, our drug prices are determined by a deal the fed negotiated (instead of rolled over) with Big Pharma for our medical system. Said deal is much more important than the tax rate when it comes to determining drug cost. Likewise, the North American economy has taken a beating. Less profit doesn't mean a price increase.

#17

Posted: Thu Sep 22, 2011 3:32 pm
by The Minx
Cynical Cat wrote:The conditions for the consumer haven't changed and increasing the price above the previous level puts the business at a competitive disadvantage during a recession. It's not like they magically decided they all of a sudden want more money, they always want more money.
I meant that the conditions are changed by the tax. The companies won't raise prices because they suddenly want more money, they will raise prices because they don't want less, and the government is taking some of it now. They will still get less, of course, but not as much as they would have had they not raised prices.
Cynical Cat wrote:I can, because your argument is that prices will increase during a brutal recession because taxes on profits have gone up. That's far from a certainty. As for Big Pharma, for example, our drug prices are determined by a deal the fed negotiated (instead of rolled over) with Big Pharma for our medical system. Said deal is much more important than the tax rate when it comes to determining drug cost. Likewise, the North American economy has taken a beating. Less profit doesn't mean a price increase.
The economy won't improve simply because taxes go up. A bad economy with higher taxes has higher prices than a bad company with unchanged taxes.

Since when has the Fed negotiated with Big Pharma? :???:

#18

Posted: Thu Sep 22, 2011 3:47 pm
by frigidmagi
Minx taxes are the lowest they've been since WWII, profit is at record highs, unemployment is not lowering. What do you suggest we do? Because from where I'm sitting, I would say that the one problem that Corporations don't have (especially given that most of them turn a profit from their taxes) isn't a wearisome tax burden.

#19

Posted: Thu Sep 22, 2011 4:21 pm
by The Minx
frigidmagi wrote:Minx taxes are the lowest they've been since WWII, profit is at record highs, unemployment is not lowering. What do you suggest we do? Because from where I'm sitting, I would say that the one problem that Corporations don't have (especially given that most of them turn a profit from their taxes) isn't a wearisome tax burden.
I'm all for raising taxes. :smile:

See, all I'm saying is that if taxes go up, so do prices, but taxes need to be raised anyway. CC and I are not debating what to do, just whether we have to deal with a particular side effect.

#20

Posted: Thu Sep 22, 2011 10:21 pm
by Cynical Cat
The Minx wrote:
I meant that the conditions are changed by the tax. The companies won't raise prices because they suddenly want more money, they will raise prices because they don't want less, and the government is taking some of it now. They will still get less, of course, but not as much as they would have had they not raised prices.
No, that doesn't make any sense. If raising prices would net them more profit, they'll do it anyway irregardless if that extra profit is taxed at 38% or 40%(as an example).

#21

Posted: Fri Sep 23, 2011 8:58 am
by The Minx
CC, you need to look at it from a supply-demand point of view. Look at what a supply-demand graph looks like. If you add a tax, you shift the supply curve to the left. That increases prices.

Investors will want X return from their investment. So if they're taxed, they'll raise prices to compensate. Individual companies could not have done so previously because of competition, since any one company who wants to make an extra buck and raises prices will be out-competed. But if all of them are faced with the same tax, then they will do it. While they can't raise prices enough to get back as much as they got before, their losses will be less than if they had not raised prices.

#22

Posted: Fri Sep 23, 2011 9:26 am
by frigidmagi
Expect they're already making money hand over fist as it. The taxes won't hurt their ability to operate and generate a profit. That given, all it takes is one company to decide not to rise prices and the others are looking at losing enough market share to make it nonviable. I do not think that they'll be so obsessed with chasing the current all time record highs as to damage their competitiveness.

#23

Posted: Fri Sep 23, 2011 12:14 pm
by The Minx
There is an optimal price level each company has for its products, where it makes the largest profit. Raise prices above this, and they gain more profit from each consumer, but the number of consumers that choose them drops faster, so they make less money overall. Lower the prices below this, and the reverse happens. Competition forces companies to try and optimize more, but it can't force them to lower the prices no matter what.

#24

Posted: Fri Sep 23, 2011 5:03 pm
by Cynical Cat
The Minx wrote:CC, you need to look at it from a supply-demand point of view. Look at what a supply-demand graph looks like. If you add a tax, you shift the supply curve to the left. That increases prices.
I don't see how a tax on profits affects supply. The cost of producing a commodity doesn't change, nor is it reduced in availability. Even if it produces a shift, that shift has to be weighed against the considerable pressures in a recession that act in the other direction (less demand, generally lower labor costs and so on). In the Great Depression, relative prices decreased enough that real wages (for those who had jobs) increased.

#25

Posted: Fri Sep 23, 2011 5:27 pm
by The Minx
It shifts supply because the average supplier needs a little bit more money from the consumer to pay back his investors enough to make them happy, and because the marginal supplier needs a little bit more money to make ends meet. Of course, there will probably be less increase in price during a recession, but that's got noting to do with the supply curve, that's part of the demand curve. Regardless of how the demand curve moves, the supply curve shifts to the left if you add a tax, which means higher prices. Or at least, higher prices than would have been without the tax.