Adventuring in Undermountain, anyone?

OOC: For the creation and management of board RPG's.

Moderator: B4UTRUST

User avatar
General Havoc
Mr. Party-Killbot
Posts: 5245
Joined: Wed Aug 10, 2005 2:12 pm
19
Location: The City that is not Frisco
Contact:

#401

Post by General Havoc »

I got three more 1s... the odds of 1s on all six dice rolls so far are approximately 1 in 4,000,000.

Making a test:













AHA, so it appears that if you use a capital 'D' to roll, you get a 1 automatically, whereas if you use a lowercase 'd', you get a straight roll.

That would have been nice to know before I rolled initiative.
Last edited by General Havoc on Tue Jun 03, 2008 1:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
Gaze upon my works, ye mighty, and despair...

Havoc: "So basically if you side against him, he summons Cthulu."
Hotfoot: "Yes, which is reasonable."
User avatar
Hotfoot
Avatar of Confusion
Posts: 3769
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2005 9:28 pm
19

#402

Post by Hotfoot »



Average should be 105
User avatar
Hotfoot
Avatar of Confusion
Posts: 3769
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2005 9:28 pm
19

#403

Post by Hotfoot »

By the by, your odds are off. Rolling the same number on multiple six-sided dice is as follows:

1: 1/6
2: 1/36
3: 1/216
4: 1/1296
5: 1/7776
6: 1/46656
7: 1/279936
8: 1/1679616

That's one out of 46,656. Unlikely, but nowhere near 1/4,000,000. In fact, you don't get into the millions until you hit 8 dice.

But hey, these things do happen. Remember that while getting the same result on multiple dice is rare, the odds of getting any result on any given die is still 1/6.
User avatar
General Havoc
Mr. Party-Killbot
Posts: 5245
Joined: Wed Aug 10, 2005 2:12 pm
19
Location: The City that is not Frisco
Contact:

#404

Post by General Havoc »

Gaze upon my works, ye mighty, and despair...

Havoc: "So basically if you side against him, he summons Cthulu."
Hotfoot: "Yes, which is reasonable."
User avatar
General Havoc
Mr. Party-Killbot
Posts: 5245
Joined: Wed Aug 10, 2005 2:12 pm
19
Location: The City that is not Frisco
Contact:

#405

Post by General Havoc »

Hotfoot wrote:By the by, your odds are off. Rolling the same number on multiple six-sided dice is as follows:

1: 1/6
2: 1/36
3: 1/216
4: 1/1296
5: 1/7776
6: 1/46656
7: 1/279936
8: 1/1679616

That's one out of 46,656. Unlikely, but nowhere near 1/4,000,000. In fact, you don't get into the millions until you hit 8 dice.

But hey, these things do happen. Remember that while getting the same result on multiple dice is rare, the odds of getting any result on any given die is still 1/6.
However Hotfoot, I wasn't rolling six sided dice. I rolled three 20 and three eight sided, which comes to 1 in 4,096,000
Gaze upon my works, ye mighty, and despair...

Havoc: "So basically if you side against him, he summons Cthulu."
Hotfoot: "Yes, which is reasonable."
User avatar
General Havoc
Mr. Party-Killbot
Posts: 5245
Joined: Wed Aug 10, 2005 2:12 pm
19
Location: The City that is not Frisco
Contact:

#406

Post by General Havoc »

Moreover, as further proof:












The odds of obtaining the ten consecutive ones while rolling ten thousand sided dice, are literally 1 in ten thousand to the tenth power. That's 1 in ten thousand dectillion, or 10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.

I think the syntax is broken.
Last edited by General Havoc on Tue Jun 03, 2008 1:43 am, edited 2 times in total.
Gaze upon my works, ye mighty, and despair...

Havoc: "So basically if you side against him, he summons Cthulu."
Hotfoot: "Yes, which is reasonable."
User avatar
Hotfoot
Avatar of Confusion
Posts: 3769
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2005 9:28 pm
19

#407

Post by Hotfoot »

General Havoc wrote:Moreover, as further proof:










Um, I fail to see how that's proof of anything, other than that rolling retardedly high numbers breaks the system. Here's a more appropriate test, using proper statistical analysis methods.





Average should be 315





Average should be 135
User avatar
Hotfoot
Avatar of Confusion
Posts: 3769
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2005 9:28 pm
19

#408

Post by Hotfoot »

And more tests:








Average should be 1500
User avatar
General Havoc
Mr. Party-Killbot
Posts: 5245
Joined: Wed Aug 10, 2005 2:12 pm
19
Location: The City that is not Frisco
Contact:

#409

Post by General Havoc »












I'm open to suggestions as to how I got a 1 on 5d100... ten consecutive times?












Ten more 1s, this time on D100s, which is what you were rolling a moment ago. The odds here are one in one hundred quintillion. 1: 100,000,000,000,000,000,000.
Last edited by General Havoc on Tue Jun 03, 2008 1:50 am, edited 2 times in total.
Gaze upon my works, ye mighty, and despair...

Havoc: "So basically if you side against him, he summons Cthulu."
Hotfoot: "Yes, which is reasonable."
User avatar
Hotfoot
Avatar of Confusion
Posts: 3769
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2005 9:28 pm
19

#410

Post by Hotfoot »

...let me show you something.





What's the difference? The Difference is simple. The Difference is what is ruining your results.

Use lower case d.
User avatar
General Havoc
Mr. Party-Killbot
Posts: 5245
Joined: Wed Aug 10, 2005 2:12 pm
19
Location: The City that is not Frisco
Contact:

#411

Post by General Havoc »

Hotfoot wrote:...let me show you something.





What's the difference? The Difference is simple. The Difference is what is ruining your results.

Use lower case d.
Yes, if you will see my post at the top of this page, you will notice that is what I concluded.
Gaze upon my works, ye mighty, and despair...

Havoc: "So basically if you side against him, he summons Cthulu."
Hotfoot: "Yes, which is reasonable."
User avatar
Hotfoot
Avatar of Confusion
Posts: 3769
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2005 9:28 pm
19

#412

Post by Hotfoot »

Meh, it's 4AM here. :razz:
User avatar
Rogue 9
Master
Posts: 1994
Joined: Thu Aug 11, 2005 10:07 pm
19
Contact:

#413

Post by Rogue 9 »

Way to spend eleven posts hashing out what Havoc and I determined this morning before I left for work, guys. :razz:

Anyway, Kergan is next.
The Paladin's Domain, My Blog (Updated 5/18/2009)

"Live free or die: Death is not the worst of evils." -- General John Stark

"A fortress circumvented ceases to be an obstacle.
A fortress destroyed ceases to be a threat.
Do not forget the difference."

"Fairy tales do not tell children the dragons exist. Children already know that dragons exist. Fairy tales tell children the dragons can be killed." -- G. K. Chesterton
User avatar
Hotfoot
Avatar of Confusion
Posts: 3769
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2005 9:28 pm
19

#414

Post by Hotfoot »

Hey, at least I showed that the dice are, in fact, remotely fair, which was a question others have had. :razz:

But yeah, so I goofed, meh.
User avatar
Rogue 9
Master
Posts: 1994
Joined: Thu Aug 11, 2005 10:07 pm
19
Contact:

#415

Post by Rogue 9 »

Rhoenix, the goblin he blooded a moment ago was just stabbed through the neck by the cleric. :razz:
The Paladin's Domain, My Blog (Updated 5/18/2009)

"Live free or die: Death is not the worst of evils." -- General John Stark

"A fortress circumvented ceases to be an obstacle.
A fortress destroyed ceases to be a threat.
Do not forget the difference."

"Fairy tales do not tell children the dragons exist. Children already know that dragons exist. Fairy tales tell children the dragons can be killed." -- G. K. Chesterton
User avatar
rhoenix
The Artist formerly known as Rhoenix
Posts: 7998
Joined: Fri Dec 22, 2006 4:01 pm
18
Location: "Here," for varying values of "here."
Contact:

#416

Post by rhoenix »

...Now, like four hours later it finally dawns on me what you meant, Rogue.

Okay, so which goblins are still alive, and where are they?
"Before you diagnose yourself with depression or low self-esteem, make sure that you are not, in fact, just surrounded by assholes."

- William Gibson


Josh wrote:What? There's nothing weird about having a pet housefly. He smuggles cigarettes for me.
User avatar
Rogue 9
Master
Posts: 1994
Joined: Thu Aug 11, 2005 10:07 pm
19
Contact:

#417

Post by Rogue 9 »

Refresh the page and look at the map again; that's how things are currently.
The Paladin's Domain, My Blog (Updated 5/18/2009)

"Live free or die: Death is not the worst of evils." -- General John Stark

"A fortress circumvented ceases to be an obstacle.
A fortress destroyed ceases to be a threat.
Do not forget the difference."

"Fairy tales do not tell children the dragons exist. Children already know that dragons exist. Fairy tales tell children the dragons can be killed." -- G. K. Chesterton
User avatar
rhoenix
The Artist formerly known as Rhoenix
Posts: 7998
Joined: Fri Dec 22, 2006 4:01 pm
18
Location: "Here," for varying values of "here."
Contact:

#418

Post by rhoenix »

Rogue 9 wrote:Refresh the page and look at the map again; that's how things are currently.
Websense hates it! IT HATES IT!

I'll have to view it when I get home, and then post afterward, since the map is blocked at work.

Alternatively, since he'll most likely simply want to hit some poor (us)suspecting goblin with his big cleaver, can I just say "lol he attacks closest goblin that's still alive?"
Last edited by rhoenix on Tue Jun 03, 2008 4:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
"Before you diagnose yourself with depression or low self-esteem, make sure that you are not, in fact, just surrounded by assholes."

- William Gibson


Josh wrote:What? There's nothing weird about having a pet housefly. He smuggles cigarettes for me.
User avatar
General Havoc
Mr. Party-Killbot
Posts: 5245
Joined: Wed Aug 10, 2005 2:12 pm
19
Location: The City that is not Frisco
Contact:

#419

Post by General Havoc »

There is a goblin south of me, south-west of you, that is probably going to try to plant a dagger in my side next turn. You could cut him in half :D
Gaze upon my works, ye mighty, and despair...

Havoc: "So basically if you side against him, he summons Cthulu."
Hotfoot: "Yes, which is reasonable."
User avatar
LadyTevar
Pleasure Kitten Foreman
Posts: 13197
Joined: Fri Jan 13, 2006 8:25 pm
18
Location: In your lap, purring
Contact:

#420

Post by LadyTevar »

If Kergan wants... he can make a straight run up north and help me with the three on me. The ones to my Left and to my Right are blooded... the one on the Right you can get to in 4 steps
Image

Dogs are Man's Best Friend
Cats are Man's Adorable Little Serial Killers
User avatar
General Havoc
Mr. Party-Killbot
Posts: 5245
Joined: Wed Aug 10, 2005 2:12 pm
19
Location: The City that is not Frisco
Contact:

#421

Post by General Havoc »

The healer in this case is more worried about the dwarf getting killed than himself, so go right ahead. Eralis is here to get his hands dirty, not to hide in the back and occasionally cast "Bless".
Gaze upon my works, ye mighty, and despair...

Havoc: "So basically if you side against him, he summons Cthulu."
Hotfoot: "Yes, which is reasonable."
User avatar
rhoenix
The Artist formerly known as Rhoenix
Posts: 7998
Joined: Fri Dec 22, 2006 4:01 pm
18
Location: "Here," for varying values of "here."
Contact:

#422

Post by rhoenix »

I deleted my earlier post here and game action while second-guessing myself and talking to Rogue. My original action has been reinstated - Kergan's going to slap the goblin on Rauri's right.

This is mainly because Rauri's in more trouble potentially than Eralis is.
Last edited by rhoenix on Tue Jun 03, 2008 6:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
"Before you diagnose yourself with depression or low self-esteem, make sure that you are not, in fact, just surrounded by assholes."

- William Gibson


Josh wrote:What? There's nothing weird about having a pet housefly. He smuggles cigarettes for me.
User avatar
Rogue 9
Master
Posts: 1994
Joined: Thu Aug 11, 2005 10:07 pm
19
Contact:

#423

Post by Rogue 9 »

Nice shot. Etvar's next.
The Paladin's Domain, My Blog (Updated 5/18/2009)

"Live free or die: Death is not the worst of evils." -- General John Stark

"A fortress circumvented ceases to be an obstacle.
A fortress destroyed ceases to be a threat.
Do not forget the difference."

"Fairy tales do not tell children the dragons exist. Children already know that dragons exist. Fairy tales tell children the dragons can be killed." -- G. K. Chesterton
User avatar
B4UTRUST
Dance Puppets Dance
Posts: 4867
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 3:31 pm
19
Location: Chesapeake, Va
Contact:

#424

Post by B4UTRUST »

If it's ok with you Rogue, can I delay till tomorrow so I can deal with it?
Image
Saint Annihilus - Patron Saint of Dealing with Stupid Customers
User avatar
Rogue 9
Master
Posts: 1994
Joined: Thu Aug 11, 2005 10:07 pm
19
Contact:

#425

Post by Rogue 9 »

Yeah, that's fine, man. Surgery's a bitch. Besides, Kergan's turn just happened; even without the doctor's note you'd still have 24 hours. :wink:
The Paladin's Domain, My Blog (Updated 5/18/2009)

"Live free or die: Death is not the worst of evils." -- General John Stark

"A fortress circumvented ceases to be an obstacle.
A fortress destroyed ceases to be a threat.
Do not forget the difference."

"Fairy tales do not tell children the dragons exist. Children already know that dragons exist. Fairy tales tell children the dragons can be killed." -- G. K. Chesterton
Post Reply